Do you have any new friends that just got into riding bikes?
I could use the same logic for myself, that all my friends with e-bikes came from regular bikes but I also don't know any new riders to the sport. I'm sure bike shops are the ones who would actually know the mix of new riders who go e-bike vs regular.
When I got into biking in my 20s I was fat and out of shape. An e-bike if affordable would have likely been my choice. And that 20-something me also thought riding wet muddy trails were cool until I knew better.
I'm not sure what you mean. I was in much better shape in my 20s than I am now... same holds true for all of my riding friends. ...except maybe Tom... I don't think he has lost any fitness at all, although I'm sure he'd disagree.
True about mud riding. It's something we avoid now and one reason I'm hesitant to drive some distance to an unfamiliar riding area this time of year. Over the years, we have arrived for a ride, made it maybe 50 feet down the trail... realized conditions were not acceptable... turned around and gone home. But my friends and I ride pretty much every weekend. If we have to miss a day due to conditions, it's disappointing, but not the end of the world to us. For someone who isn't able to get out as much, that one day they go to the trails may be the one day they get to ride all month. So they're going to ride no matter what the conditions are. I don't agree with them riding, but I can understand where their thought process. Especially if they've just spent a lot of money on some fancy new bike.
Mud does bring back memories of when I bought my Head 600 back in 1989. One reason I chose that bike is because the elevated chain stays provided really good mud clearance. But a lot of the riding I did back then was from my house and then looking for trails in the wooded areas. Near me, those woods are generally along the various creeks that run through the otherwise heavily developed area. So those trails (often fishing trails) tended to be in lowland areas near the water and thus we often muddy. The idea of driving to ride trails was a concept I hadn't thought about yet. Riding my mountain bike was basically a continuation of how I rode my BMX bike a few years prior. I'd leave the front door and ride off for miles...
Following Halter's IG account, I've never gotten the impression that a significant percentage of the sold e-bikes they've posted have been to totally new riders. Sometimes an older rider getting back into riding, but usually just a long-time rider buying something new/fun.
I avoid canal paths like the fvcking plague (that's why I ride on the road), so I don't know or care who rides what kind of bikes there.