This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond

21 new in New Jersey today. I think there are way more that just haven't been tested yet. There are assumed cases throughout my hospital system. I finished my OR cases for the day and left. Told them I wasn't coming back until this all pans out. I'm only as needed so I don't get afforded all the benefits of the full time employees. Not worth the risk for me to be there.
 
Patrick said:
change second factor to 'average chance of getting it' - better wording.

there is also the possibility that they create a vaccine/treatment in the near time frame.
that would be nice.
Click to expand...

Not getting a vaccine or treatment anytime soon. They haven't even conclusively identified the mode of cellular entry or the subsequent immune cascade (although they've identified the mechanism behind the lung pathology in the serious cases). They have presumptive pathways based on SARS-CoV (remember that one?), same family of virus. This one is SARS-CoV-2 BTW, but if you call it that to the public, billions of heads will explode like in first Kingsman movie, and the internet will shatter into a billion tiny 1's and 0's.
 
Two sons in college, one already switched to online-only for semester duration, the other gets +1-week spring break, then online thru April 3. Only a matter of time until they both are online only.
 
MORRISTOWN — To prepare for the possibility of an increase in patients with COVID-19, Morristown Medical Center is setting up a self-contained, patient triage and assessment system.

The triage tent, adjacent to the emergency department, will serve as a fully-staffed extension for the department. Doctors will evaluate patients and provide treatment as needed.

My wife is excited that she might get to finally work outside. Although she just pointed out to me: Staffed with who???? We never have enough people now!

So maybe you just go sit in a tent by yourself and watch reruns of Mash.
 
Zaskar said:
POTUS is speaking now.
It's really reassuring to have such a stable genius in charge at a time like this.
He's not going let anyone forget that this isn't his fault.
Click to expand...

Right, because the government did this. Not a bunch of sick people getting on planes and spreading it around the world, but the government. And if the government tried to shut the borders down in December or January, you'd all be bitching about trampling your rights, xenophobia, etc. And its because we don't have enough testing kits too, right? Any other bullshit reasons you want to throw out there?
 
Monkey Soup said:
Right, because the government did this. Not a bunch of sick people getting on planes and spreading it around the world, but the government. And if the government tried to shut the borders down in December or January, you'd all be bitching about trampling your rights, xenophobia, etc. And its because we don't have enough testing kits too, right? Any other bullshit reasons you want to throw out there?
Click to expand...
Gents ... please let’s not go this route. We’ve got enough going on.
 
UtahJoe said:
@Patrick

I read:

As of Tuesday (March 10), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had tested 3,791 specimens for COVID, while other state and local labs had conducted 7,288 tests, according to the CDC. It's not clear how that number translates to people tested, however, because some states are running the test twice to confirm the results.

thats a little over 10,000....not exactly alot of people being tested out there. Whats that number 3 days later? 20,000? 30,000?
Click to expand...

the only proxy we have is confirmed. not individual tests, or tests administered.
we know the number of people that have it is higher than the number confirmed.

so sure, more tests per day = more confirmed but they are doing more tests because more people need to be tested - not just because the test became available (which is kinda true also)

use 4 days as the time-to-double the cases.

Italy is a couple weeks ahead of us, they added 2,200+ yesterday.
they were at 10,000 - so if nothing changes it will be 20,000 in 3 days.
40,000 4 days after that. but they locked down the country - so look for it flatten
before then.

the biggest challenge is that people think linearly. That is how time goes by,
and mostly how we move around. It isn't a linear problem.

consider moore's law. every 18 months processors double their speed, and memory size
is cut in half. this seems linear when stated, but it is exponential. this is why there are
such bold predictions on AI and autonomous weapons. The logical conclusion is that the weapon will learn to defend itself.
 
Patrick said:
Italy is a couple weeks ahead of us, they added 2,200+ yesterday.
they were at 10,000 - so if nothing changes it will be 20,000 in 3 days.
40,000 4 days after that. but they locked down the country - so look for it flatten
before then.
Click to expand...

This is the part I don't get. Was there some waiting list to get the virus and Italy was ahead of the US in the line by two weeks? I don't think so.

Why so many more cases during the same period of time in a population that is about 7 times smaller than the US assuming potential for contagion started at the same time? Maybe the ban on travellers from China turned out to be effective somehow.

The number of people tested explanation works to a point, you can't hide the dead bodies, especially in the US where everybody has a phone and is willing to use it to show the government abusing its power.
 
Monkey Soup said:
Yes, let’s return to panic, hysteria, shitting out pants in fear and driving down toilet paper reserves.
Click to expand...
We’re all sorry you feel that way. Costco has men’s diapers - tremendous, beautiful diapers- if you continue to experience these symptoms.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom