Look at the link @thegock posted. Deaths over time are surprisingly consistent year to year, as I'm sure you're aware. The past few months, a lot more people have been dying than expected. That number is greater than the official COVID death count. So either a lot more people than normal are dying from other causes in the past few months OR COVID deaths are undercounted. I know where I'm putting my money.
. Source.
I must amid to not having read all of the information on the CDC site, but it seems like you would see a reduction in deaths during those months as a result of people not being out, driving around, etc. If that isn't being controlled for (and I'm not sure how you would accurately control for that), it makes the increase all the more significant.






