This Thread Blows - C19 and beyond
- Thread starter Paul H
- Start date
rick81721
Lothar
accuracy of virus testing? it's as good as it will get - it's a viral load issue that varies based on time since infection. the only way around it is to test everyone every day
He’s very funny sometimes, but he’s as one sided as fox. I like people who can make fun of everyone equally!?
Paul H
Fearless OOS Poser
A week or so ago, was listening to the radio which said that some nude beaches were opening in the EU... However... Mask was required 😀
68nova200
Well-Known Member
check your numbers.
deaths/ million population in the US as %.
"covid 19" 0.0141% (in quotes because this number is inflated)
Auto deaths 0.0118%
So I was wrong. Covid is slightly more deadly.
If you don't want to die stay home, its really that simple. Millions unemployed, Millions at risk of losing everything, millions of small businesses never re-opening... suicides will be at an all time high this year. All because of a 99.98% survival rate.
"Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."
you want them naked? 😀
think like a birthday card that a 75yo would give her 70yo sister.....
Mahnken
Well-Known Member
For your survival rate to work, there would have to be over 217 million people already infected in the US. That's far greater than the 840k confirmed cases.
rick81721
Lothar
Looking at north (colder) vs south (warmer). I threw out NY and NJ as outliers, and compared PA + OH + MI + MA to TX + FL:
TX + FL: 50M population, 50K cases - 1000/M
P+O+M+M: 42M population, 125K cases - 2980/M
So 3 times the incidence in the northern states. Population density? Timing of mitigation? Climate? All??
TX + FL: 50M population, 50K cases - 1000/M
P+O+M+M: 42M population, 125K cases - 2980/M
So 3 times the incidence in the northern states. Population density? Timing of mitigation? Climate? All??
68nova200
Well-Known Member
Three studies have show that infections are anywhere from 35 to 85x greater that current confirmed cases.
rick81721
Lothar
we'll learn more soon. NYS n=3000 sample in progress, results potentially next week. NIH n=10K also in progress.
JonF
Well-Known Member
Then how will the crusty old folks who ride Salsa's and Niner's get thier jollies?
JerseyPete
Well-Known Member
FTFY
A Potted Plant
Honorary Sod
This thread sucks it's the same 4 pages over and over again
JerseyPete
Well-Known Member
It's one big pissing contest where the winner gets to say "I told you so".
Are you in?
A Potted Plant
Honorary Sod
I already won
thegock
Well-Known Member
Sure, I'm in, if I live.
@68nova200 is comparing C19 to the flu.
Governor Murphy said on Saturday, I recall, that the deaths from C19 in the last six weeks (and that is a rapidly growing number) are equal to the last three years of the flu. Who should I believe? Let's see, Murphy was educated at Harvard and Wharton.
Please chime in here @68nova200 in case I missed your doctrate in epidemiology?
So I ask: mathmuch?
i'm going to end up with 10k rounds of ammo either way...bring on the zombies, or aliens.
although you'd think the aliens would just end up getting it.
stats can be very deceiving. that study in santa clara with 35-85x more cases than confirmed scaled up to 4% of their population.
it isn't like NY at 1.25% would scale up to 85% - or maybe it would?
like this stat
Oil soars 25% in single day.
it went from $11 to $14. futures, not spot price (~$24.)
@thegock - he doesn't need a degree to look around and make an assessment.
I don't agree with @68nova200 - but he does get his own opinion, which forces us to sharpen ours.
the reason i don't agree is i think it is too static - that is all.
Mahnken
Well-Known Member
85x isn't 258x.
Crashing Mustangs
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