Tariffs...what to make of them.

This makes no sense. All 8 BILLION didn’t vote in our elections. Some sure tried to make it happen, though

I’m talking about the number of people in the world that dislike Trump. No one cares about the cult’s voter conspiracy theories 😂
 
I’m talking about the number of people in the world that dislike Trump. No one cares about the cult’s voter conspiracy theories 😂
it doesn’t make sense to compare 77 mil out of the 150ish mil (Total) that voted to the other 8ish billion that didn’t vote. You have no idea how the remaining 8ish billion would have voted. 😂

I think you just like the word “cult” and put in in as many replies as possible
 
Ok, here it goes:

When it comes to politics (and most observations of people) my thoughts and views are derived from watching the actions of our government, not based on political speak from our politicians and news. Although, I listen to the big 3 (Fox, CNN, and MSNBC) as well as the new influencer media (The Young Turks, Joe Rogan, Candace Owens, etc…there are a TON of them) and then make up or change my mind from considering all views. Everyone should do the same if you want to be credible by not falling for the cherry picked and molded narratives of the news and the politicians

My politics: I’m registered as an independent, but lean right.

My Education: Geotechnical Engineering, magna cum laude. I’m not an economist, but have observed the trends and read about it quite a bit for decades (I’m in my mid-40’s).

Food for thought for anyone that’s unaware: Our current economy used to be based on gold, but now it is backed by good faith. Essentially, our dollar is artificially valued. https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/currency_12770.htm

Tariffs - I think these are (likely) a good idea to implement the way they are because they are very skewed away from us right now. I don’t fully understand why our tariffs aren’t reciprocal in the first place. I can only imagine it’s to unethically buy influence by our government, in addition to several other ways. I’d rather have no tariffs or equal tariffs. The method of negotiating these tariffs are not likely what many, if not most, think. The chaos is a purposeful tactic that everyone falls for and panics. Underneath the chaos is a plan that includes chaos because it makes understanding the chaos-creator (made up word) very difficult. This gives the chaos-creator the upper hand because everyone is confused. The chaos is so uncomfortable and everyone wants it to end as quickly as possible, therefore, benefiting the chaos-creator (the U.S.). However, the chaos-creator must have some spine and strength to follow through. I imagine it’s like riding a mtb down a hill of rocks…..it’s not easy, but you have to commit or you will likely get hurt or not have fun (the benefit) of riding down the rocks.

Also, we have several several several trillions in debt to external entities, how else will it be paid other than eliminating excess spending, such as on unbalanced tariffs, foreign aid, etc. I know it’s hard to pay debt, but grow up. The solution isn’t always easy, fun, and immediate. Our economy is sick/injured and needs to be treated. No other modern President before has been successful in paying the national debt (no, not Clinton, that was congress and it wasn’t the national debt, just a balanced budget) that I’m aware of. I’m pretty certain it’s because they didn’t care or they wanted to stay in a powerful government position and promise more of our artificially valued currency.

The problem is, society (overall) wants immediate satisfaction and would rather remain sick/injured than do what’s needed to become well. The immediate satisfaction is why things are the way they are; massive debt, political violence, the chilling effect on free speech and differing opinions, to name a few.

While I am gullible when it comes to sarcasm @John the Plumber, I am usually pretty good at picking out the wolves among the sheep. Our government is almost entirely made of wolves (very bad people who are likely and literally psychotic) who say the nicest and the right things to put voters in their purses like pets (please stop falling for it in ANY party). They also spew hyperbole so much, that people (like on here) regurgitate those same untrue ideas, like that everyone who votes for Trump is in a cult who hates others based on race, religion, etc. It’s not even close to true and you should be ashamed if you believe that.

There are so many confused and unintelligent people out there in all parties in all politics. I would guess it’s not isolated to voting for one or the other. I don’t look at them as shitty people because they don’t fully understand, but more like children who need mature and sincere guidance.

It’s sad to see the true colors of many of you are so ugly and do not consider the opinions of others in a problem-solving way, but assume the worst with nothing but exaggerated info, regurgitated talking points, youtube videos and memes to back it up. I hope not all cyclists in MTB NJ are not so close minded and tribal at the expense of progress.

For fun, here are the neuro-diverse conditions I think our last few presidents have had:

Trump: Extreme Narcissist
Biden: Sociopath
Obama: Psychopath
W. Bush: Sociopath
B. Clinton: Extreme Narcissist
Bush: Psychopath
Reagan: Hard to figure out, but probably some combination of the above
Carter: Extreme Narcissist

I Think Trump is doing what he is doing because he wants to prove (and rub it in their faces) that he can run the country better than anyone else in modern times after the insults and lawfare from Obama/Clinton/Bush/bureaucrats, news, comedians, etc. Even though it is for his legacy, it will benefit our country more than any of the others, because they just wanted the power, whereas trump wants the power and the legacy more than the others. He may even care a little. Also, after they tried to jail him, that supercharged his focus. In my opinion, it would have been ok to jail him if everyone who was trying to jail him were held to following the law, but they all get away with hurting the population (fraudWasteAbuse, constant deceit, buying votes with social programs, committing felonies haphazardly with audacity) without accountability. I’ve been stewing on accountability for years and years and desperately want to see it. I’m not a Trumpian, but admire his approach with spine and transparency.

To conclude (whew) If any of my objective info is incorrect, such as our currency value or budget talk, I will gladly look up your reference and admit my mistake. And this is probably the most I have ever written at once without submitting it for a grade.
Are you suggesting we return to the gold standard? Ain't gonna happen. There's not enough gold in the world to back the size of our wealth. Gold has become a volatile commodity with price swings all over the place. The dollar's value is based on the good faith that we repay our debts and manage our country's finances in a responsible way. The current chaos severely undermines that good faith. Global markets, the stock market and businesses all function better under a climate of stability.

The national debt is a real issue. Please show me where Trump or the rest of the Republicans are doing anything to address the debt. The current version of their budget raises the debt ceiling by $4 trillion. They want to cut taxes and they have a whole agenda of things they want to do that will add to the budget. The spending cuts they're likely to achieve will not pay for all the stuff they want to do. They want to increase defense spending. Our defense budget is already greater than the next 8 countries combined.

I'm not an economist. Neither are you and neither is Trump. He's a real estate guy. Frankly, real estate is not a particularly sophisticated business and Trump is not exactly an innovator in that space. He's used various questionable tactics over the years to get where he is. It's one thing to do those things when you're managing a business and the risk is relatively contained. He's playing in an arena now that affects millions of people who didn't sign up for that level of risk. He's clearly out of his depth. You say the chaos is a feature, not a bug. Do you know that to be true? It seems to be the MAGA equivalent of "The Lord works in mysterious ways."
 
I believe it’s important not to name call when talking politics and to be open minded

Yeah. I think this thread has gone in a very bad direction. I'm not a fan of Trump but I'm not going to call his followers some of the vile things I've seen here.

Your other post is very fair. I have some questions about human rights, the Constitution, and the Iran nuclear issue I’d ask about but I’m also on my phone and this is about as many words as I got. Maybe later.
 
it doesn’t make sense to compare 77 mil out of the 150ish mil (Total) that voted to the other 8ish billion that didn’t vote. You have no idea how the remaining 8ish billion would have voted. 😂

I think you just like the word “cult” and put in in as many replies as possible

It’s a great word. And the only PC word I can use to describe his fan base.
 
It’s a great word. And the only PC word I can use to describe his fan base.
Curious, if anyone who voted for trump is a follower/in a cult, does that mean anyone belongs in a cult of whoever you vote for? What’s your cult?

Hey, the more is say it, the more I like it, too
 
Yeah. I think this thread has gone in a very bad direction. I'm not a fan of Trump but I'm not going to call his followers some of the vile things I've seen here.

Your other post is very fair. I have some questions about human rights, the Constitution, and the Iran nuclear issue I’d ask about but I’m also on my phone and this is about as many words as I got. Maybe later.
Human rights are for white men, the constitution was made to be ignored and the the Iran nuclear issue is the least of our worries right now.
 
Curious, if anyone who voted for trump is a follower/in a cult, does that mean anyone belongs in a cult of whoever you vote for? What’s your cult?

Hey, the more is say it, the more I like it, too

I would actually say yes, either side is basically a cult. I’m Vegan so I belong my own group of psychopaths.
 
How do you feel about the current administration cutting funding to universities that allow students to exercise their First Amendment rights?
Without regards to the current situation with the students, I’ve always been against private universities receiving federal funds. It boggles my mind why our taxes (which I do pay) go to colleges and universities worth hundreds of millions to billions when it’s hard for the working man to save and plan for their kids education (and then we pay even more with tuition), and retirement. the universities have huge endowments they could use for real good, but choose not to). They need to pick one…be a government university, or only use private funding. They almost surely use those government funds for research that I am ethically not ok with, as well as fraud, etc.

Every US citizen should not be hassled, penalized, jailed, fined, or whatever, for their speech. If they commit a crime while exercising the free speech, such as assault, destruction of property, intimidation, etc., they should be charged for that crime, but without regard to the speech. But if someone is punching and kicking me while screaming, “FREE MARS,” yes, they need the police to take them away for the beat down.

I’m not sure about the laws/statutes for non citizens. I’m not researching tonight 🥱
 
I’m not sure about the laws/statutes for non citizens. I’m not researching tonight 🥱

I’m not even going to go there. I’m going to refer to legal US citizens at this point.

Your response is reasonable but it misses my real point, which is the government using funding to coerce the schools to follow the party line. They’re now threatening Harvard with revoking their tax-exempt status.

My question is more to the point of, are you/we ok with this sort of abuse of power? As I write this I’m sure you’ll find examples of the Democrats doing the same but I’ll leave it here.
 
Out of habit, more than anything else, I monitor the fiancial markets regularly. My range of indices that interest me is wide and diverse.

For those of you keeping score at home, one metric of the domestic equity markets is the VTSAX. It is one of the broadest equity indexes that you can pay attention to regulary. It was up about 65% during tRUMP 2017-2021. During Biden, it rose about 54%.

Now, I will do something never seen on any forum---admitting that I made a bad decision!

I took some chips off that table in December 2016 at age 62 anticipating my first retirement. That client, one of my better ones, called me back and I did another SEC filing for them. After a year off, I did a succession of contract for three clients over a couple of years, and each year bought equities with my SEP contributions. (I am not always stupid.)

Four months before the pandemic a client asked me to do a three month project. Solid client with two rate increases day one. Usually takes weeks. That contract was extended for a total of 32 months, cuz we are slow, I guess. More importantly for us and them, it was a success. I continued to buy equities.

So now I have about 10 clams (as @SNOW FAKE used to say before he was strangled like an unwanted kitten) worth.

Since the very stable genius was reelected, VTSAX is down 13.8%. Therefore, I have only 8.62 clams. in VTSAX. The USD is off between 5-10% depending on what index you follow. Quite a bit of what America buys is imported (e.g. every bike and bike related item.) That doesn't include the prospective cost of tariffs.

If I were under 50 years old with a target retirement date of age 64, I would continue to buy equities. My viewpoint is that I don't want to die with too much supply, but am not putting more chips on the table. I want my family to appreciate what is left for them when I am gone and this is what worries me about the Felon in Chief.

For extra credit, identify the cult member below:


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I had a dream last night that I was walking along a trail with DC and BriBri. You should have told me yesterday, then I could have asked both of them.
 
Although, I listen to the big 3 (Fox, CNN, and MSNBC) as well as the new influencer media (The Young Turks, Joe Rogan, Candace Owens, etc…there are a TON of them) and then make up or change my mind from considering all views.

This one struck me this morning. How do we feel about the White House basically doing everything they can to put a gag order on news outlets that do not promote the party line?

As someone who likes to read/listen to all sides, is this not problematic?
 
This one struck me this morning. How do we feel about the White House basically doing everything they can to put a gag order on news outlets that do not promote the party line?

As someone who likes to read/listen to all sides, is this not problematic?

Screenshot_20250417-090357.png
 
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